Dave and Jones Weigh in on IDP Scoring

So as we all know, every few days for the last 15 years (at least) Jon or Dave attempt to shoot my blood pressure through the roof with gripes about scoring or drafting or trades or whatever. The current target has been the IDP scoring, with a special focus on QB Sacks. I recently did a breakdown of how the sack scoring has changed over the years. (That can be found HERE) What it basically told us is that sacks, while worth a little more than the historically average, weren’t as far out of whack as some people assumed. They were with 2 points of the 2002 scoring, and actually lower than what we used from 2022-2023.

The longest running IDP scoring system we used was version 7.0 – which was almost identical to 6.0, except Yahoo added the TFL option. During this time sacks were worth 80 points total (compared to the current 92). That was a formula of 20/10/50 (solo/TFL/sack). The current formula is 17/15/60.

Now as the years progressed, we’ve used 9 versions of IDP scoring, most of the changes with just tweaks here and there (aside from the complete overhaul from 2001 to 2002).  Below is a chart showing the value chart for each of those 9 systems, as well as new scoring proposals put forth this week by each Jon and Dave. The total number in the last column is simply a representation of what out happen if you got a 1 in each stat line – which has never happened. I only included it as away to weigh the stat totals in comparison to each other.

TAK AT TFL SACK INT FF FR PD DTD SAFE BK XPR TOTAL
2001 3 0 0 12 7 5 12 2 20 20 40 0 121
2002 15 0 0 75 75 75 50 25 100 200 200 0 815
2003 15 10 0 40 60 50 60 15 70 100 100 0 520
2004 10 5 0 50 60 40 60 10 100 150 100 0 585
2005 15 10 0 50 60 50 60 5 100 125 125 0 600
2010 20 10 0 50 60 50 60 25 100 100 100 0 575
2011 20 10 10 50 60 50 60 25 100 100 100 0 585
2022 15 5 15 70 70 50 50 30 100 100 100 40 645
2024 17 7 15 60 60 50 40 30 100 100 100 40 619
Jones 18 8 15 50 50 50 40 25 100 100 100 100 656
Dave 15 10 10 25 60 50 40 30 100 100 100 40 580

So as we see here, Jon’s proposal doesn’t actually lessen the impact of the IDP scoring, it simply moves some numbers around. The tackles creep back up a point, and both INTs and sack drops from 60 to 50. He drops the PD from 30 to 25. So in this system we would see the total sack score drop from 92 to 83. Additionally, the new total from an interception would go from 90 to 75. The other change sees an Extra Point Return go from 40 to 100, putting it in line with other Defensive Scores.

Dave’s change goes a little more drastically the other way. While Jon’s Total number was 656 (up from the current 619), Dave’s total would go to 580, closer to the pre-TFL days. Dave’s premised is centered around Turnovers needing to be more valuable than sacks, which seems like a common sense approach, but let’s dig into it.

Dave suggested that sacks should be be worth a total of 50 points, which would be the lowest since the original 2oo1 system, but closest to 2003 (55). This would be achieved by a breakdown that might look like this; 15/10/25. This would leave an emphasis on turnovers, while lessens tackle based scoring. While the current system, and most of the previous versions have been about trying to balance a team – making the Kicker and Safety just as important as the RB and WR, that way its truly a test of best team build rather than just a race for Barkley and Jefferson – Dave’s suggestion takes a more real world approach based on importance of plays on NFL games.

With both Jon and Dave’s systems, there also come some additional changes;

JONES – Fumbles by the offensive player should move from -5 to -15

DAVE – Convert the DL roster spot into a third IDP Flex. With the lessening of focus on sacks, let’s not make people started a DE if they don’t want to.

This third IDP Flex would immediately make LBs and DBs more valuable, though how much remains to be seen. When we traded out the third WR spot for a Flex, it theoretically made RBs more valuable, but I don’t have exact metrics behind that. If we nerf sacks the way Dave suggests, I think his IDP Flex is a great idea. It’s the same reason I’ve argued to years that the TE spot should be a FLEX. There aren’t 12 good TEs and there is no way for us to reward them in a way that is different from WRs.

So far this is all theoretical, so let’s run some numbers. Below I am going to take 5 distinctly different players, and using their season stats from 2024, apply how there scoring looks under the 7.0, the current scoring, and both Jon and Dave’s props. I’ve taken two defenders from Jon’s championship 2024 squad, as well as two from Dave’s 11th place team. I also grabbed Trey Hendrickson off of Kyle’s 10th place squad, as he lead the league in sacks.

Z.Franklin TAK AT TFL SACK INT FF FR PD TD TOTAL
Stats 93 80 11 3.5 2 5 0 6 0
v7.0 1860 800 110 175 120 250 0 150 0 3465
Current 1581 560 165 210 120 250 0 180 0 3066
Jones 1674 640 165 175 100 250 0 150 0 3154
Dave 1395 800 110 87.5 120 250 0 180 0 2942.5

 

K. Joseph TAK AT TFL SACK INT FF FR PD TD TOTAL
Stats 58 25 1 0 9 0 0 12 1
v7.0 1160 250 10 0 540 0 0 300 100 2360
Current 986 175 15 0 540 0 0 360 100 2176
Jones 1044 200 15 0 450 0 0 300 100 2109
Dave 870 250 10 0 540 0 0 360 100 2130

 

N. Bosa TAK AT TFL SACK INT FF FR PD TD TOTAL
Stats 33 19 15 9 1 1 1 1 0
v7.0 660 190 150 450 60 50 60 25 0 1645
Current 561 133 225 540 60 50 40 30 0 1639
Jones 594 152 225 450 50 50 40 25 0 1586
Dave 495 190 150 225 60 50 40 30 0 1240

 

TJ Watt TAK AT TFL SACK INT FF FR PD TD TOTAL
Stats 40 21 19 11.5 0 6 2 4 0
v7.0 800 210 190 575 0 300 120 100 0 2295
Current 680 147 285 690 0 300 80 120 0 2302
Jones 720 168 285 575 0 300 120 100 0 2268
Dave 600 210 190 287.5 0 300 120 120 0 1828

 

Trey H. TAK AT TFL SACK INT FF FR PD TD TOTAL
Stats 33 13 19 17.5 0 2 0 6 0
v7.0 660 130 190 875 0 100 0 150 0 2105
Current 561 91 285 1050 0 100 0 180 0 2267
Jones 594 104 285 875 0 100 0 150 0 2108
Dave 495 130 190 437.5 0 100 0 180 0 1532.5

SO what we learn here is that first and foremost, for all the complaints about scoring being too high, almost all of these guys scored less not only under the current system, but also under Jones and Dave’s proposals compared to the classic system we used for over 10 years.

With both Franklin and Joseph the old 7.0 system saw significantly more points on the strength of tackles, while its mixed bag with the sack heavy dudes. Bosa is +6 with the old scoring vs current. Dave’s go-to defender for the last decade or so, TJ Watt scores 7 more points in the current system as opposed to the old. Meanwhile, Hendrickson, who gets almost all of his points from sacks, sees a +162 with the current system, which is about 11 ppg. In other words, not significant.

Jon’s proposal is actually pretty comparable with both the current scoring and the 7.0 – Dave takes us another way, which would need further tweaks to avoid totally nerfing IDP. While his score for Kerby is right in line with everyone else, his scores come in much lower for the other four guys.

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