Every year we gather around the glow of a computer monitor and do our best not to embarrass ourselves during the draft. For 25 years we’ve done this Yahoo, and in front of our eyes, Yahoo suggests their rankings as a guideline. We all know these suggestions are all but worthless for IDPs, but how well did they predict the offense this year? We’ll start with the Quarterbacks.
So this year, pre-draft, this was Yahoo’s QB1 projection…
- Josh Allen
- Jalen Hurts
- Patrick Mahomes
- Lamar Jackson
- Anthony Richardson
- Kyler Murray
- CJ Stroud
- Jayden Daniels
- Jordan Love
- Dak Prescott
- Joe Burrow
- Brock Purdy
Notice what they got wrong already? Couple of obvious problems here. Let’s take a look at every QB we drafted…
| QUARTERBACK | PRE-DRAFT | ACTUAL | TOTAL | AVG. | DRAFT | COST |
| Lamar Jackson | 4 | 1 | 2632 | 376 | Josh | $38 |
| Joe Burrow | 11 | 3 | 2175 | 311 | Mark | $39 |
| Brock Purdy | 12 | 5 | 2082 | 297 | Jim | $1 |
| Jayden Daniels | 8 | 6 | 2067 | 331* | Kron | $4 |
| Josh Allen | 1 | 7 | 2067 | 295 | Chris | $50 |
| Kyler Murray | 6 | 8 | 1901 | 272 | Kron | $6 |
| Kirk Cousins | 17 | 9 | 1837 | 262 | Kyle | $8 |
| CJ Stroud | 7 | 10 | 1827 | 261 | Josh | $12 |
| Jared Goff | 14 | 11 | 1814 | 302 | Ryan | $28 |
| T. Lawrence | 15 | 12 | 1779 | 254 | Ryan | $1 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 20 | 13 | 1772 | 253 | Dave | $1 |
| Jalen Hurts | 2 | 14 | 1678 | 280 | Trig | $18 |
| Dak Prescott | 10 | 15 | 1654 | 276 | Cork | $16 |
| Jordan Love | 9 | 17 | 1625 | 325 | Jim | $30 |
| Caleb Williams | 13 | 21 | 1531 | 255 | Mark | $1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 3 | 22 | 1493 | 249 | Matt | $41 |
| Justin Herbert | 18 | 23 | 1253 | 209 | Dave | $11 |
| M. Stafford | 19 | 24 | 1244 | 207 | Jones | $2 |
| A. Richardson | 5 | 29 | 910 | 182 | Jones | $12 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 16 | 35 | 476 | 238 | Chris | $7 |
*Josh Allen and Jayden Daniels have the same total, but I divided Daniel’s total by 6.25 rather than 7 as he only played about a quarter this week. Sorry Chris.
So QB’s 2 & 4 (Baker and Geno) went undrafted, but we nailed the rest of the Top 24 at least! Of Yahoo’s Top 12, only 7 currently rank there, and of the 5 they missed on, they’re ranked lower not out of injury, but poor performance. True Richardson got hurt, but his 182 ppg wouldn’t have him anywhere the top anyway.
While Josh and Mark spent big money on QB ($38 & $39), they’re probably pretty happy with the returns so far. Lamar looks like the MVP again, and Joe Burrow is Top 5 and ascending since Higgins got back. I can not imagine Tan is thrilled however, having paid $50 for the dude who is currently sitting at QB7. I feel confident since I only paid $6 for QB8 and I’m pissed about it.
The biggest miss here though, by both Yahoo and Second Dick, is Patty Mahomes, who is delivering real world wins for Kansas City, but riding his QB22 ranking into a putrid 2-5 start to the fantasy season. Mahomes is delivering Matt, who refuses to bench the NFL’s Poster Boy, a paltry 36.4 points per dollar spent thus far. That is… not good.
| QUARTERBACK | TOTAL | COST | PP$ |
| Brock Purdy | 2082 | 1 | 2082.00 |
| T. Lawrence | 1779 | 1 | 1779.00 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 1772 | 1 | 1772.00 |
| Caleb Williams | 1531 | 1 | 1531.00 |
| M. Stafford | 1244 | 2 | 622.00 |
| Jayden Daniels | 2067 | 4 | 516.75 |
| Kyler Murray | 1901 | 6 | 316.83 |
| Kirk Cousins | 1837 | 8 | 229.63 |
| CJ Stroud | 1827 | 12 | 152.25 |
| Justin Herbert | 1253 | 11 | 113.91 |
| Dak Prescott | 1654 | 16 | 103.38 |
| Jalen Hurts | 1678 | 18 | 93.22 |
| Anthony Richardson | 910 | 12 | 75.83 |
| Lamar Jackson | 2632 | 38 | 69.26 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 476 | 7 | 68.00 |
| Jared Goff | 1814 | 28 | 64.79 |
| Joe Burrow | 2175 | 39 | 55.77 |
| Jordan Love | 1625 | 30 | 54.17 |
| Josh Allen | 2067 | 50 | 41.34 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 1493 | 41 | 36.41 |
Jim is obviously getting some fantastic value from Purdy, even though Love is his primary and has a better ppg (325>297). Tua and Richardson both got hurt, but these mostly just go in order of price til you hit Lamar. The only players that went for less than $12 and still have at least 2000 points are Purdy and Daniels. Everyone else over 2k points cost at least $38.
SC League Forever 