Scoring Differential 2022: Regular Season Finale

Following the Week 8 slate of matchups, I took a look at these numbers to see how the season was shaking out in the 2022 Point Differential piece. Here are those charts updated following the end of the regular season. Who has had the easiest schedule, and whose defense is most stout? Are you lucky to have a winning record, or were you destined for the bottom third?

TOP OFFENSE

We’ll start with the teams with the strongest cumulative offensive outputs this season;

RANK TEAM POINTS  PPG 
1 SC4 SKIPPERS 29667 2119.1
2 SECOND DECK 28647 2046.2
3 CTAN VS THE WORLD 28372 2026.6
4 M.C. QUASARS 28198 2014.1
5 QANON 27445 1960.4
6 FLYING DUTCHMEN 27059 1932.8
7 BURRITO WARRIOR 26138 1867.0
8 SIR THIS IS A WENDYS 25285 1806.1
9 WASH. SENTINELS 25248 1803.4
10 REDBANK MALLRATS 24973 1783.8
11 THE TIM BRADYS 23845 1703.2
12 FANDUEL BOOSTERS 22519 1608.5

He’s been so quiet about it, I bet no one could have guessed that Jones finished with the most points scored this year, but there it is. You might also notice that all five of the top-scoring teams made it into the playoff this year, with the Mallrats as the lone outlier, finishing tenth with a disgusting 1783 ppg.

When we checked in after Week 8, Jones was actually third in scoring behind Matt and Chris, but he really picked it up in the latter half. The other teams were all still top-five at that point, and Kronner was still tenth at the time too, though he did manage to improve his ppg now.

Kyle and Tim finished last. Whomp Whomp.

TOP DEFENSE

So, we’ve seen who’s putting points up, but which teams are best at VooDoo cursing their opponent in mediocrity?

RANK TEAM POINTS AGAINST PPG AGAINST
1 SECOND DECK 24776 1769.7
2 THE TIM BRADYS 25396 1814.0
3 FLYING DUTCHMEN 26024 1858.9
4 REDBANK MALLRATS 26034 1859.6
5 M.C. QUASARS 26194 1871.0
6 QANON 26385 1884.6
7 WASH. SENTINELS 26461 1890.1
8 SIR THIS IS A WENDYS 26923 1923.1
9 CTAN VS THE WORLD 26976 1926.9
10 SC4 SKIPPERS 27032 1930.9
11 FANDUEL BOOSTERS 27532 1966.6
12 BURRITO WARRIOR 27663 1975.9

So some of this makes sense. Matt with the easiest schedule and the second most points explains why he won 11 games this year. And it makes sense why Jones was so close to missing the playoff, since he had the third-hardest schedule, overcoming it only with his scoring output. Tim’s last-place finish also makes sense when you couple his scoring with the second most difficult schedule.

The Tim Brady’s were a little more surprising here. Sure they had the second-lowest scoring mark, but they also had the second-easiest schedule. And much like with the top-scoring teams, 5/6 playoff managers also show up in the top six for ease of schedule, this time with Jones as the outlier.

TOTAL DIFFERENTIAL

But what about the point differential? The greatest indicator of dominance, aside of course from the almighty W-L record, differential really shows us how the Dominance vs Luck argumant measures.

This is how the offense ranks against the strength-of-schedule ranks, and where each team was in Week 8.

RANK PREV. TEAM DIFFER.
1 1 SECOND DECK 3871
2 5 SC4 SKIPPERS 2635
3 6 M.C. QUASARS 2004
4 2 CTAN VS THE WORLD 1396
5 9 QANON 1060
6 3 FLYING DUTCHMEN 1035
7 11 REDBANK MALLRATS -1061
8 4 WASH. SENTINELS -1213
9 8 BURRITO WARRIOR -1525
10 10 THE TIM BRADYS -1551
11 7 SIR THIS IS A WENDYS -1638
12 12 FANDUEL BOOSTERS -5013

This is where Timmo really shines. Not in a good way, but it shines with something…shame? I don’t know, but at -5013, his differential is like a whole Dump of the Week greater than Matt’s +3871. Plus the gulf between Second Deck and the Boosters has widened since Week 8 too. They were 7,032 points apart, while they are now they are separated by 8.884.

Additionally, following Week 8, Matt and Tim were the only teams at least a thousand points from zero – now every team in the league is more than a thousand points from being even, with Kronner, Kaiser and Trigger being the closest teams to zero.

As for the playoffs, the only team not to make it with a positive point differential was C Tan vs The World, and the only team that did make the playoffs without a + differential was the Mallrats.

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