This will be the first (and much easier) of two (potential) posts, with the second one (possibly) coming EVENTUALLY. It sprouts from Josh’s suggestion, inspired by this team totally shitting the bed in Week 13, with the playoffs on the line. The later post would look at all-time records, but for now, we’ll look at the biggest discrepancies in actual scoring this season, vs Yahoo’s projections.
For the Washington Sentinels have amassed 1189 points so far in Week 13, with one player left to go on MNF – Linebacker Pete Werner who is Questionable to even play, having just had ankle surgery three weeks ago. His updated projection for this week is 1314, after an initial projection of 2108. That’s score of -794 (projected). So, let’s see where that ranks among the other big surprises of the year…
“In the SCL justice system, the people are represented by two separate yet equally important groups. The winners, who easily overcome, and the fucking losers who get bent over by Yahoo. These are their stories.”
There have been, to this point, 11 games where a team was off of their projection by at least 500 points (Josh could will make 12).
| MANAGER | WEEK | ACTUAL | PROJECTED | DIFFERENCE |
| Jon | 4 | 2844 | 1959 | 885 |
| Jon | 12 | 2807 | 2024 | 783 |
| Chris | 1 | 2567 | 1949 | 618 |
| Josh | 2 | 2476 | 1889 | 587 |
| Tim | 7 | 1344 | 1849 | -505 |
| Tim | 2 | 1319 | 1839 | -520 |
| Kyle | 6 | 1336 | 1866 | -530 |
| Dave | 3 | 1247 | 1865 | -618 |
| Kyle | 12 | 1344 | 2040 | -696 |
| Steve | 7 | 1308 | 2076 | -768 |
| Dave | 4 | 996 | 1840 | -844 |
The greatest canyons between Projection and Reality belong to Jones (+885 in Week 4) and Dave (-844 in Week 5). If Werner doesn’t suit up tonight, or plays and puts up a 0, it would mean a -919 for Josh, which would then be the biggest difference of the year, thanks in large part to Lamar Jackson leaving the game with only 10 points.
I set the line at 500 for inclusion here, but Tim, Kyle and Josh all had several games of plus or minus 400 this year as well. It would seem these are the teams that Yahoo most struggles to project. On the flip of that, they are usually really close predicting performances of Matt and Trigger.
Week 4 – Team Dominance
Looking back at week four, Jones dominated the week, with what is still the best scoring output of the year. His 2844 points were fuel by a few key players crushing their projections; TJ Hockenson +270, Josh Jacobs +200, Talanoa Hufanga +164, etc. Oluokun and Justin Jefferson both scored over 200 apiece as well. The biggest black spot on the Skippers that week was actually at QB, when Derek Carb finished -92 vs. Projection.
Week 5- Team Incompetence
In week five we saw the ugly side of this game, as Dave dropped a pathetic 996 points. The first team to score under 1000 since 2009. Oof. So what happened at Wendy’s? Well it’s a little harder to pin this on one, or even a couple of guys, it was truly a team effort. Of 15 starters, only Jordyn Brooks and Alex Analzone failed to get the memo, as they both managed to exceed their projected scores – with each player getting a whooping +9 in the equation. Those other 13 guys however where all over the task at hand. Fitzpatrick, who was a Top 3 DB at the time, put up 5 points on a projection of 140. Kwity Paye, who was averaging 121 ppg though the first four weeks, handed in a goose egg, and Ryan Tannehill failed to break 200.
SC League Forever 