Mr. Irrelevant: A History of Scattered and Indifferent Decisions

As suggested by Chris, I took a look at the last pick of each draft since 2001. Our record here is all over the place. A few gems, a few total whiffs, but mostly just end-of-the-bench guys likely didn’t make it all the way through the season on their initial roster.

The ranking is figured as follows – rather than going just off the adjusted point totals, which would automatically put the QBs at the top, I based it off positional rank vs. expected roster-worthy players (on average) that we roster from year to year.

Here’s my approximation of that;

QB – 18 (Currently 18 of Top 25 rostered)
WR – 55 (Currently 52 of Top 60 rostered)
RB – 50 (Currently 48 of Top 60 rostered)
TE – 15 (Currently 14 of Top 25 rostered)
K – 12 (Currently 11 of Top 25 rostered)
DB – 30 (Currently 28 of Top 36 rostered)
DL – 15 (Currently 16 of Top 32 rostered)
LB – 50 (Currently 50 of Top 100 rostered)

So as not everyone rosters multiple QBs, I went with the Top 20 as ‘roster-worthy’ – for example, this season we have 20 of the top 33 quarterbacks rostered. On the flip side of that, Linebacker – of which we are able to roster up to 4 per week, I set the number at 55. This week, we have 50 of the top 81 LBs rostered. In years past this number might have been higher, so 55 seemed a reasonable amount. Again, these are estimations. The basic idea is the lower the POSITIONAL VALUE number, the better the pick. Anything under 1.00 is great.

Furthermore, for Kickers, the 2022 POINT totals are estimated, as I do not have exact FG yardage numbers.

MR. IRRELEVANT YEAR COACH POS. NFL TEAM ORIGINAL POINTS 2022 POINTS DIFFER. POS. RANK POS. VALUE
Cody Barton 2022 Kronner LB SEA 1155 1155 0 27 0.540
Terry Allen 2001 Chris RB BAL 788 936 148 34 0.756
Marcus Trufant* 2003 Chris DB SEA 1210 2025 815 27 0.900
Dan Carpenter 2011 Mark K MIA 2105 2045 -60 11 0.917
Kevin Walter 2010 Mark WR HOU 1471 1126 -345 53 0.964
Baker Mayfield 2020 Steve QB CLE 4154 4154 0 19 1.056
Jay Cutler 2015 Jason QB CHI 4025 4075 50 20 1.111
Brandon Myers 2013 Toepel TE NYG 1232 957 -275 17 1.133
Jonathan Wells 2002 Chris RB HOU 717 737 20 55 1.222
Joe Flacco 2017 Steve QB BAL 3360 3325 -35 23 1.278
Greg Olsen 2007 Kronner TE CHI 731 721 -10 21 1.400
Tony Jefferson II 2018 John DB BAL 1670 1410 -260 52 1.733
Jason Hanson 2008 Ryan K DET 1210 1775 565 25 2.083
Josh Scobee 2014 Trigger K JAX 1555 1575 20 26 2.167
David Kircus 2004 Chris WR DET 133 133 0 147 2.673
Donte’ Stallworth 2009 Chris WR SUSP 0 0 0 184 3.345
Brian Orakpo 2012 Mark LB WSH 275 445 170 190 3.800
James Jones 2016 Dave WR RETIRED 0 0 0 209 3.800
Nick Scott 2021 Trigger DB LAR 950 775 -175 134 4.467
Morgan Burnett 2019 Jones DB CLE 910 795 -115 158 5.267
Erron Kinney 2006 Matt TE RETIRED 0 0 0 111 7.400
Drew Wahlroos 2005 Hicks LB STL 175 170 -5 416 8.320

Cody Barton was drafted this year, so his season is incomplete. Also, Marcus Trufant’s positional ranking is estimated. The individual stats from that season are gone, so I got his stats from Football Reference, and based on those numbers he would have finished as DB27 in 2021, so that’s how I came up with his PV number. 

So as of now, Cody Barton, the Seahawk linebacker who I traded to Kaiser earlier this year, has proven to be the most valuable “Mr. Irrelevant” thus far. Since he’s only 10 games in however, I’d say the best value pick has to be Ravens Running Back Terry Allen, drafted by Tan back in 2001. One of only two Running Backs ever taken in the spot (the other, Jonathan Wells, was also drafted by Chris the next year) he proved an overall value at the spot, though he wasn’t winning the league for anyone. But still, the 34th-ranked RB (which this year is Swift) with the last pick in the draft isn’t too shabby.

Other Notable Hits

  • If we had complete stats for 2003, Trufant might have finished in first place here, but based on the estimated value, his .900 score is still starter level.
  • The only other players to finish sub-1.00 both belong to Kaiser. Kicker Dan Carpenter in 2011 finished the season as K11, which isn’t great, but it is starter-level (again, our bar is pretty low) and WE Kevin Walter, who finished as WR53 – which this year would slot him somewhere between Branin Cooks and Romeo Doubs…
  • Statistically NOT a hit, as he finishd the year as K25, but shout out to Jason Hanson on the 2008 Lions, who missed only one FG (and no PATs) that year, including 8/8 from beyond 50. Unfortunately, they just didn’t get him enough changes to kick.
2008 Lions MVP; Jason Hanson

Most Notable Misses

  • While Chris has hit on a few, he’s also got some big misses – like Donte’ Stallworth who got drunk and killed someone with his car…and was only suspended for a year.
  • Nick Scott and Morgan Burnett were both DBs who didn’t work out in the least, but at least they didn’t retire.
  • We’ve had not one, but two guys drafted who either then chose to reitre, or the NFL chose for them, because they never played again, both taken by Alleys. Dave snagged WE James Jones in 2016, and he responded “Nacho this time” and Matt signed TE Erron Kinney back in 2006.

THE WORST.

Drew Wahlroos. Leave it to Hicks to leave this kind of legacy behind. The St. Louis LB out of Colorado finished with a PV score of 8.23, which somehow finished behind a drunk driver who was suspended for the whole year, and two guys who retired. He played for the Rams from 2004-2005. The year Hicks took him, he appeared in 15 games and totaled 12 tackles. But it’s what came later that really puts the exclamation point on this one.

At age 37, Wahlroos shot himself, probably because of something Hicks did. (What an unfortunate screenshot here)

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