2021 Kicker stuffs!

After Sanchez dropped a season-high 343 points in the kicker slot on Thanksgiving, it was understandable that Jones would be disheartened.

But how close is Jon’s assumption? Is he the worst kicker coach in the league? Or was this a turkey-fueled, knee-jerk pity party? Let’s take a look at the numbers!

Here is Kicker Scoring by week this season…

	Chris	Dave	Jones	Josh	Kaiser	Kron	Kyle	Matt	Ryan	Steve	Tim	Trig
1	179	207	151	51	101	104	189	216	98	88	177	170
2	170	96	50	224	50	184	50	244	0	81	103	152
3	40	200	89	175	76	99	208	30	176	90	312	164
4	92	20	60	162	248	216	233	31	83	10	206	129
5	225	56	172	120	132	61	105	182	192	123	43	143
6	229	94	127	30	40	158	199	163	47	87	191	107
7	175	84	72	199	87	96	210	132	261	75	95	155
8	142	71	65	265	30	199	176	190	63	95	81	117
9	0	-5	124	92	104	101	115	40	200	142	163	200
10	175	87	84	123	140	161	109	190	179	20	81	72
11	150	78	30	277	206	145	5	0	72	133	193	200
12			129				99			343
13
14
TOTALS	1577	988	1153	1718	1214	1524	1698	1418	1371	1287	1645	1609
AVERAGE	143.4	89.8	96.1	156.2	110.4	138.5	141.5	128.9	124.6	107.3	149.5	146.3

Ok, so here’s another one of Kronner’s 100,000 charts – but what does it tell us?

Ranking – Per Game Average

1. Josh – 156.2
2. Timmo – 149.5
3. Trigger – 146.3
4. Chris – 143.4
5. Kyle – 141.5
6. Kronner – 138.5
7. Matt – 128.9
8. Ryan – 124.6
9. Kaiser – 110.4
10. Steve – 107.3
11. Jones – 96.1
12. Dave – 89.8

So on the surface, Jones was pretty close, with the 2nd worst average, ahead of only Buttfucking Dave. But like Jon used to teach (probably), when figuring averages, sometimes it helps to eliminate outliers to get a truer look at reality. So this next chart, we delete each team’s best and worst day. ie: Dave’s -5 game from Crosby, and the crazy 343 Steve just dropped on Jon’s head.

	Chris	Dave	Jones	Josh	Kaiser	Kron	Kyle	Matt	Ryan	Steve	Tim	Trig
1	179		151	51	101	104	189	216	98	88	177	170
2	170	96	50	224	50	184	50			81	103	152
3	40	200	89	175	76	99	208	30	176	90		164
4	92	20	60	162				31	83		206	129
5	225	56		120	132		105	182	192	123		143
6		94	127		40	158	199	163	47	87	191	107
7	175	84	72	199	87	96	210	132		75	95	155
8	142	71	65	265		199	176	190	63	95	81	117
9			124	92	104	101	115	40	200	142	163	200
10	175	87	84	123	140	161	109	190	179	20	81
11	150	78			206	145			72	133	193
12			129				99
13
14
TOTALS	1348	786	951	1411	936	1247	1460	1174	1110	934	1290	1337
AVERAGE	149.8	87.3	95.1	156.8	104.0	138.6	146.0	130.4	123.3	93.4	143.3	148.6

Ranking – Per Game Average (Amended)

1. Josh – 156.8 (+0.2)
2. Chris – 149.8 (+6.4)
3. Trigger – 148.6 (+2.3)
4. Kyle – 146.0 (+4.5)
5. Timmo – 143.3 (-6.2)
6. Kronner – 138.6 (+0.1)
7. Matt – 130.4 (+1.5)
8. Ryan – 123.3 (-1.3)
9. Kaiser – 104.0 (-6.4)
10. Jones – 95.1 (-1.0)
11. Steve – 93.4 (-13.9)
12. Dave – 87.3 (-2.5)

So what did we see here? Josh and Kronner’s averages barely moved, which would seem to indicate the most consistency for those teams. The biggest drops come from Sanchez, Kaiser and McLeod. Timmy drops from 2nd to 5th, Kaiser doesn’t change position, but Sanchez actually drops below Jones. After eliminating Dave’s scores, his average went down 2.5 points, which means his week one 207 performance was farther off his true average than his -5 performance was.

Alright Jon, let’s take a look further then. Here are the kicker totals against the Sc4_Skippers this year.

Week 1 – 88
Week 2 – 50
Week 3 – 312
Week 4 – 83
Week 5 – 225
Week 6 – 107
Week 7 – 84
Week 8 – 30
Week 9 – 101
Week 10 – 123
Week 11 – 0
Week 12 – 343

TOTAL – 1546
AVERAGE – 128.8

Here we see Jon has faced an average opposing kicker score of 128.8, which is below league scoring average. When we look at the numbers though, we see how clearly erratic they are.

If we take out weeks 3, 5, and 12 that opposing average drops to 74 points. Now Jon lost in both Week 3 and Week 5 with the opposing kicker going off. For the current week, with Steve’s best kicker output of any team this year, the outcome is far too early to call.

In Jon’s other 9 games, he has faced arguably the easiest kicker schedule of any team. So with a few exceptions, it seems we usually play down to Jon’s level. In those games, Jon actually averages 84.8, which is 10.8 points better than his opponents.

So based on average, in a matchup of only Kickers, Jon would be 9-3 right now despite how terrible his kickers have been. But averages aren’t always super accurate. And in reality, his record based on kickers for the year is 4-7-1.

That’s as far as I’m willing to go on Kicker research.